What a long, strange trip it’s been in the PFL. In its first season in two years, the 2021 PFL competition has proceeded in a way that absolutely no one expected. And with the finals coming up on Wednesday and the $1 million checks ready to be handed out, almost none of the favorites are still standing. Here’s a quick refresher on the tournament championships that are about to take place.

Heavyweight: Bruno Cappelozza vs. Ante Delija

First off, remember when Fabricio Werdum was supposed to dominate this heavyweight competition? The former UFC heavyweight champion pulled a disappearing act this season, going to a controversial (and highly bizarre) no-contest in his first bout with Renan Ferreira, then pulling out of the competition entirely. Meanwhile, it’s countryman Bruno Cappelozza, who entered this competition after a three-year layoff and moving up from 205 pounds, who’s been the breakout star. Cappelozza has scored three straight KO wins, displaying some especially nasty kicks to all areas of his unfortunate opponents. He’ll be heavily favored entering the final, mostly because he knocked out his next opponent – one-time UFC signee Ante Delija – in just 46 seconds in their first fight of the season.

Light heavyweight: Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Marthin Hamlet

Out of all the well-known former UFC fighters added to the PFL roster this season, it’s been Antonio Carlos Junior, surprisingly, who’s acquitted himself the best. “Cara de Sapato” – Shoeface – was once a decently hot rising middleweight prospect – his 2016 win over Marvin Vettori has aged quite well – but three straight L’s against good competition crashed him out of the UFC earlier this year. Back up at 205 for the first time in seven years, Carlos Junior has looked quite good, going undefeated and knocking off defending champ Emiliano Sordi in the semifinals. His opponent, Norwegian Marthin Hamlet, has had a much stranger road. Hamlet snuck into the playoffs despite submitting to Cory Hendricks in his last fight of the regular season, and was essentially gifted a spot in the finals when opponent Cezar “Mutante” Ferreira immediately pulled his hamstring on a leg kick seconds into their semifinal fight. Shoeface will enter as a very large favorite.

Middleweight: Magomed Magomedkerimov vs. Ray Cooper III

Speaking of big name signings coming up short, it would have been a surprise if you told people preseason that the middleweight final didn’t include Rory MacDonald. But despite a laughable robbery loss to Gleison Tibau, Rory made the playoff field – he just lost, straight-up, to defending champion Ray Cooper III. An aggressive and fast-paced striker, Cooper actually leaned on his wrestling to outpoint the former UFC star. That’ll be a dangerous idea to try against Magomed Magomedkerimov, the man who beat Cooper in the 2018 final by second-round submission. Magomedkerimov has looked every bit the kind of fighter you would expect to be named “Magomed Magomedkerimov” – the Russian hasn’t lost in six years, and has controlled both of his fights this season.

Lightweight: Loik Radzhabov vs. Raush Manfio

How about 0-3 on the big-name UFC signings? Former world champion Anthony Pettis looked like a shadow of himself after signing with the PFL, losing both of his fights and failing to qualify for the playoff tournament. Unheralded Brazilian Raush Manfio knocked off Pettis by a controversial split decision – I thought Pettis should have barely edged him out, but whatever – in the latter fight, then beat Clay Collard, the other man to beat Pettis, in the semifinals by yet another controversial decision. By all accounts, Manfio is lucky to be here fighting for the million. His opponent, Loik Radzhabov, has courted no such controversy. The grinding Tajikistan native punched his ticket to the tournament with a 27-second TKO of Akhmed Aliev, then avenged a defeat earlier this season to Alex Martinez by unanimous decision to earn his finals spot.

Featherweight: Movlid Khaybulaev vs. Chris Wade

The undefeated Movlid Khaybulaev has perhaps faced the toughest road of anyone to make it to the finals. Khaybulaev outwrestled two-time defending champion Lance Palmer to make it to the playoffs, then matched up with red-hot Brendan Loughnane – who had looked like a complete stud on his run through the regular season – in a prime semifinal matchup. Loughnane had his moments, but once again it was Khaybulaev’s smothering top pressure that delivered him a primetime win. Meanwhile, on the other side of the bracket, UFC vet Chris Wade pulled an impressive feat: punching his ticket to the finals by outgrappling Bubba Jenkins, a former national champion wrestler. Should be a good scrap between two guys who know what they’re doing on the mat.

Women’s Lightweight: Kayla Harrison vs. Taylor Guardado

PFL knows where its bread is buttered, that’s for sure: the women’s lightweight final is going to main event its ultimate show of the year, even though it projects to easily be the least competitive of the six final bouts. The Olympic judo gold medalist and defending undefeated PFL champ has looked more dominant than ever so far this season, winning all three of her bouts by first round TKO. There’s been much more speculation that she might leave MMA for pro wrestling than there has been that she could ever lose. And the only woman who looked like she could potentially give Harrison a challenge – UFC veteran Larissa Pacheco – was disqualified for the tournament for missing weight before her semifinal bout. That set up Taylor Guardado to be the woman across from Harrison, and with just four pro fights on her record, her chances are exceedingly remote.